Bonds made and broken,

Amidst speculation and fear of disintegration even before it is formed, opposition coalitions have become the subject of Indian cartoonists. Now the season has turned a bit sideways. Even so, it exists like a hope in millions of despair. The stones thrown at the opposition by the ruling party are like nothing. For INDIA some good news has come first from UP and then from Delhi. The seat-sharing agreement between the Samajwadi Party and the Aam Aadmi Party has once again given the opposition parties and their associated activists an opportunity to claim that the battle for 2024 is not yet over and that they will present a tough challenge to the ruling coalition. Be patient.

INDIA has experienced several shocks one after the other in recent times. First of all, the Congress itself put a hold on the alliance talks in the hope of a good performance in the assembly elections held in December last year. Even when the talks started, the leaders did not show the same enthusiasm or interest as before. Then Nitishkumar, who had worked most enthusiastically on the coalition proposal, abandoned the ship. RLD's Jayant Choudhary in UP also joined hands with INDIA and eventually joined Shaghach.

Meanwhile, the process of small and big leaders leaving the Congress has also become faster. Former Maharashtra Chief Minister Ashok Chauhan's name was particularly popular. Be it the personal opportunism of these leaders or the activism of the BJP and NDA leadership, it is certain that the future of Congress does not look very good for these leaders. Congress leader Rahul Gandhi launched Bharat Jodo Nyaya Yatra as a sequel to Bharat Jodo Yatra and Congress has pinned a lot of hopes on it, but looking at the situation so far, it cannot be called as successful as the previous one. The delay in bringing unity among its allies also proved to be a major obstacle to the kind of energy India was expected to produce. Due to which the supporters of opposition unity could not generate enthusiasm in time.

Well, it can be said that time is not completely out of hand yet. The way Samajwadi Party and Aam Aadmi Party have agreed on seat sharing outside UP and Delhi shows that both the parties are showing openness. If other states like Maharashtra, Bihar and Jharkhand also come to a similar mutual understanding and the alliance is easily harmonised, then the next Lok Sabha elections can see a good fight, but the important question is whether the alliance will face more hurdles in its full shaping? Can Navarachna be claimed? India Bloc, a coalition of opposition parties, has started preparations for the Lok Sabha elections.

The fourth meeting of the Grand Alliance in Delhi discussed the distribution of seats. 28 parties are involved in this alliance. In such a situation, it becomes important to know how the parties belonging to the India Bloc have performed in the last elections, where are the voters' preferences and what challenges do they face? Axis My India's analysis begins with an important point - the possibility of opposition parties joining India. Because forming such an alliance in states like Uttar Pradesh, Haryana and Andhra Pradesh seems like a distant dream. Axis My India has marked these areas as 'not possible'. Forecasts suggest that the India Block may be effective in Bihar, Jharkhand, Tamil Nadu, Puducherry, Maharashtra, Kerala, Jammu and Kashmir and Ladakh. A coalition in these states would mean that the combined opposition would contest 168 seats - nearly one-third of all parliamentary seats in the country.