In 200 years, the existence of humans will disappear from the earth?


- Now female fertility is declining, so the birth rate is also declining, India's population is growing exponentially, but the birth rate is declining.

- Population experts are of the opinion that if this dangerous trend is not stopped, the human race will disappear from the earth in 200 years. According to him, the human population on earth will reach the 'replacement rate' in two decades. This means that the Earth's population will stabilize and then the world's population will begin to decline as the birth rate of newborns begins to decline. This decline will be so rapid that in the next 75 years, that is, by the time the twenty-second century approaches, the world will cease to produce newborns.

The countdown to the extinction of mankind from the earth has begun? The question is hotly debated after China's population fell for a second year in a row and France reported a startling drop in the birth rate of newborns. In France in 2023, only 6.78 lakh newborns have been born. Given that the population of France is around six and a half million, the birth rate is around 10 per thousand people. Given that the current birth rate in the world is around 18 per thousand, this reduced the birth rate to half.

In China, the situation is even worse because in 2023, 6.39 children were born for every 1000 people in China. China's population is 1.4 billion and 90 thousand children were born, so the birth rate in proportion to the population was only 5.7 percent. In 2022, the birth rate was 6.77 per thousand, which has decreased on the one hand, while the death rate has increased to 6.6 percent, and the population of China has decreased by 20 million.

Population experts are of the opinion that this is a dangerous trend and if this trend is not stopped, in 200 years the existence of mankind will disappear from the earth. According to him, the human population on earth will reach the 'replacement rate' in two decades. This means that the Earth's population will stabilize and then the world's population will begin to decline as the birth rate of newborns begins to decline.

This decline will be so rapid that in the next 75 years, that is, by the time the twenty-second century approaches, the world will cease to produce newborns. Most of the children who were born a year or so ago would have reached the age of 70-80 years. By the twenty-third century, there will be hardly any humans left in the world. Within a few years of the beginning of the twenty-third century, the existence of the human race will be completely extinguished.

This might sound like a bee deewana or sunta bee deewana to anyone now, but experts have solid data for it. According to experts, in the year 2000, 2.7 newborn babies were born per woman. In 2023, this rate decreased to 2.1. The birth rate at which the population stabilizes is called the 'replacement rate'. The 'replacement rate' for the human population is 2.1. Meaning, if every woman had 2.1 children in the world, the population of the world would remain stable, but that is not possible now.

Now the female fertility is decreasing so the birth rate of newborns is also decreasing. India is currently the most populous country in the world. We think that India's population is growing exponentially, but in reality, the birth rate of newborns in India is decreasing. In India, the life expectancy of people has increased and the death rate has decreased, so the population increases, but the birth rate will gradually decrease. Due to this, as many people die as children will be born, the population will stabilize.

Female fertility is declining in India too. When the human population of the earth stabilizes, it is called the 'replacement rate'. India has fallen below this 'replacement rate' as the number of births per woman in India has fallen to 2, while the world's 'replacement rate' is 2.1. Fertility of Indian women will further decrease hence the birth rate will decrease hence the population will gradually decrease.

India's situation is relatively good but there are many countries in the world where the female fertility rate is less than 1. Meaning, not even one newborn child is born per woman. South Korea tops it with a fertility rate of 0.78. Apart from this, the fertility rate in Italy, Spain, Puerto Rico, Japan, Taiwan, Monaco, Greece etc. is less than 1, so the population will decrease rapidly in these countries. .

There are many reasons why female fertility declines. The number of women in many countries giving birth to children is decreasing due to changes in genes, genes etc. due to cold weather in European countries and global warming. Due to this, the problem of elderly people is increasing in these countries, so these countries are also troubled.

According to some population experts, the human population can be saved, but it will change the demography of all countries facing this problem in the future. As rich countries invite outsiders to run their systems, the future generation of these countries will gradually be left to outsiders. There are more white people in Europe now, but due to having to bring people from African countries, the European countries will also become black people in the future.

The only solution to the problems of European countries is 'net immigration'.

Population experts believe that the solution to the problem of declining birth rates in countries including France and America is net immigration. Meaning, foreigners have to be officially allowed to live in their country permanently. The population level can be maintained by having outsiders come and stay, produce offspring and then those offspring increase their own generation.

America is practical in this regard and welcomes people from all over the world but most European countries including France are very conservative. Those people feel that if outsiders come, their culture will be spoiled, so in most European countries including France, citizenship is rarely given to people from other countries. Leaving aside citizenship, the rules for permanent residency and work visas are also very strict. Work only visas are available in cases of absolute necessity.

After obtaining a work visa in France, permanent residency requires living in France for at least five consecutive years. Must have French skills and a clean track record. If you follow all these norms, you will get a residency permit for 10 years, which has to be renewed after completion.

Countries including France should change these strict rules and open their doors to outsiders. There will come a time when only the poor will be left.

In poor countries, the birth rate will be higher and the death rate will also increase

While countries including France are worried about falling birth rates, in some countries the population is growing at an alarming rate. These extremely poor countries do not even have enough food grains to feed their booming populations. Congo, Nigeria and Sudan, the three countries with the highest birth rates in the world, are facing this problem. The population in these countries will also decrease in the future because the death rate will be very high due to poverty, lack of treatment and pollution.

In Congo, each woman gives birth to an average of 6.2 children, in Nigeria the rate is 5.2 and in Sudan 4.6. These three countries belong to Africa and are considered among the poorest countries in the world. At number four is our neighbor Pakistan. The economic condition of Pakistan is also not much better than the African countries.

In Congo, the birth rate per woman was 5.8 in 2022, it has increased to 6.2 in 2023, so it is not possible to stop the population increase. Per capita income in Congo is only 675 dollars (about 56 thousand rupees). It means that the income was less than 5000 rupees per month. Sudan is poorer than Congo with an income of $533.

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